Saturday, January 17, 2026

Has the number of school shootings decreased in 2025?

Note: English is not my native language, so I use an automated translation system to communicate. I apologize in advance if the meaning of some phrases is conveyed incorrectly. 

Not long ago, one of the leading American experts in school safety, Dr. Kenneth S. Trump, published an interesting post on social media stating that in 2025, the number of attacks on schools had fallen to its lowest level in five years, and the number of victims of such crimes had also fallen to its lowest level.

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/17sPNNL7j5/

First, I would like to say that I have great and sincere respect for Dr. Kenneth S. Trump. I consider him one of the world's leading experts and practitioners in school safety issues, and I highly value his personal contribution to applied criminology. Thanks to his work, many children have saved their lives and health. However, in this case, I completely disagree with the assessment expressed by Dr. Kenneth S. Trump.

On the day I read this message, I was just finishing the final edits to the updated version of my annually published Handbook of Crimes and Terrorist Acts in Schools and Other Educational Institutions. In the published 5th edition, the main addition was the statistics for 2025. I can say right away that the past year set a kind of anti-record for all the previous 26 years of observations, so I even highlighted it in a separate section for comparison. In the entire history of observations since 2000, there has only been one similar sharp rise in all indicators, in 2014. In short, for example, the total number of crimes increased by more than 60% compared to 2024, and by more than 70% compared to the average for the previous five-year period (2020–2024). For crimes involving mass murder and terrorist acts, the increase was more than 43% compared to 2024, and more than 64% compared to the average for the previous five-year period. If we compare the number of people killed and injured (in absolute terms), the situation is similar.

These are global statistics. If we take the data for the US separately, the situation is as follows: in 2025, 32 crimes classified as serious and particularly serious were committed in US educational institutions, 16 of which were mass murders and terrorist acts. Compared to 2024, when there were 12 crimes classified as serious and particularly serious, including 7 crimes with signs of mass murder and terrorist acts.  If we take the average statistics for the previous five-year period from 2020 to 2024 (rounded up), the figures will be even lower:

- crimes classified as serious and particularly serious – 9;

- crimes with signs of mass murder and terrorist acts – 4.

However, one significant change did occur in 2025: 9 of the 16 incidents  with signs of mass murder took place not in schools but in universities, with this proportion (56.2%) of crimes in higher education institutions recorded for the first time. For comparison, in 2024 this proportion was 42.8%, and in 2023 it was 40%.

I cannot say for sure, but it is too early to talk about a decrease in the number of crimes; in fact, there has been no decrease, just a change in the principle of target selection. It is difficult to say exactly what this is due to, but the shift in threats from schools to higher education institutions has been observed worldwide. Between 2000 and 2024, it showed an average increase of 2.7%, and in 2025, the increase in this indicator was immediately more than 10%.

In essence, Dr. Kenneth S. Trump is right in saying that while it is not yet clear what exactly has influenced this situation and how it will develop further, it would be criminal to be complacent about the security of educational institutions.

author: Roman Grishin

#Schoolshootings #schoolsafety #schoolsecurity #DrKennethSTrump #K12 #K-12


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Has the number of school shootings decreased in 2025?

Note:   English is not my native language, so I use an automated translation system to communicate. I apologize in advance if the meaning of...